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Wavelet-Based Testing for Serial Correlation of Unknown Form in Panel Models

机译:基于小波的面板模型中未知形式的序列相关性测试

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摘要

Wavelet analysis is a new mathematical method developed as a unified field of science over the last decade or so. As a spatially adaptive analytic tool, wavelets are useful for capturing serial correlation where the spectrum has peaks or kinks, as can arise from persistent dependence, seasonality, and other kinds of periodicity. This paper proposes a new class of generally applicable wavelet-based tests for serial correlation of unknown form in the estimated residuals of a panel regression model, where error components can be one-way or two-way, individual and time effects can be fixed or random, and regressors may contain lagged dependent variables or deterministic/stochastic trending variables. Our tests are applicable to unbalanced heterogenous panel data. They have a convenient null limit N(0,1) distribution. No formulation of an alternative model is required, and our tests are consistent against serial correlation of unknown form even in the presence of substantial inhomogeneity in serial correlation across individuals. This is in contrast to existing serial correlation tests for panel models, which ignore inhomogeneity in serial correlation across individuals by assuming a common alternative, and thus have no power against the alternatives where the average of serial correlations among individuals is close to zero. We propose and justify a data-driven method to choose the smoothing parameter-the finest scale in wavelet spectral estimation, making the tests completely operational in practice. The data-driven finest scale automatically converges to zero under the null hypothesis of no serial correlation and diverges to infinity as the sample size increases under the alternative, ensuring the consistency of our tests. Simulation shows that our tests perform well in small and finite samples relative to some existing tests. Copyright The Econometric Society 2004.
机译:小波分析是近十年来作为统一科学领域而开发的一种新的数学方法。作为一种空间适应性分析工具,小波可用于捕获频谱具有峰值或扭结的序列相关性,这可能是由于持久依赖性,季节性和其他周期性引起的。本文针对面板回归模型的估计残差中未知形式的序列相关性,提出了一类新的普遍适用的基于小波的检验,其中误差分量可以是单向或双向的,个体和时间效应可以是固定的或随机变量和回归变量可能包含滞后因变量或确定性/随机趋势变量。我们的测试适用于不平衡的异构面板数据。它们具有方便的零极限N(0,1)分布。无需制定替代模型,而且即使在个体之间的序列相关性中存在相当大的不均一性,我们的测试也能针对未知形式的序列相关性进行一致性测试。这与现有的面板模型序列相关性测试相反,后者通过假设一个通用的替代方案来忽略个体之间序列相关性的不均匀性,因此对于个体之间序列相关性的平均值接近于零的替代品无能为力。我们提出并证明了一种数据驱动的方法来选择平滑参数(小波谱估计中的最佳比例),使测试在实践中完全可行。在没有序列相关性的零假设下,数据驱动的最佳标度自动收敛为零,而在替代方法下,随着样本量的增加,该标度会趋于无穷大,从而确保了测试的一致性。仿真显示,相对于某些现有测试,我们的测试在较小的有限样本中的性能很好。版权所有计量经济学会2004。

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    Yongmiao Hong; Chihwa Kao;

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